Evolution of NFTs: Which Critical Factor for Their Future?

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Introduction

NFTs are a new type of digital item that is changing the way people think about owning things online.

To understand more about NFTs, the World Economic Forum has put together a detailed report. This report talks about how NFTs started, what they are now, and what they could become in the future. You can read it by following this link to the Evolution of NFTs.

Join me on a journey through the key insights and revelations uncovered in this groundbreaking report.

The Rise of NFTs

NFTs, also known as digital collectibles, began to emerge in 2014. It started with two people, Kevin McCoy and Anil Dash, who made the first-ever NFT called Quantum. But it wasn’t until 2017 that NFTs really caught everyone’s attention. That’s when digital art pieces and series like CryptoPunks started to become popular. CryptoPunks are 10,000 special digital characters that exist on a type of computer network called Ethereum.

Back in 2018, Ethereum, which is like a digital playground, introduced a new set of rules known as ERC-721. This improvement made creates and share NFTs (which are one-of-a-kind digital treasures), leading to a rise in their popularity. Additionally, in 2017, a website named OpenSea was launched. It became one of the first online marketplaces to buy and sell NFTs. OpenSea made it much easier by providing a straightforward way for people to discover and trade these unique digital items.

As the NFT ecosystem evolved, it attracted interest from non-digitally native brands, such as the NBA, which entered the space with Top Shot, an officially licensed collection of NBA-themed NFTs. Top Shot, operating a 24/7 marketplace, has amassed over 1.5 million users.

The period from 2021 to 2022 saw a surge in NFT demand driven by factors like speculative interest and celebrity endorsements. This period witnessed the entry of global brands like Nike and Coca-Cola into the NFT space.

Number of brand-backed NFT projects launched – first-time vs repeat
Number of brand-backed NFT projects launched – first-time vs repeat. Source: WEF

Following the hype cycle, there was a significant market downturn from mid-2022, with a 90% crash in NFT metrics between January and November 2022. Despite this decline, the adoption of NFTs by institutions and global brands remained steady. Notable brands like Prada, Warner Records, and Starbucks launched NFTs in late 2022, showcasing ongoing exploration of sustainable business use cases for NFTs.

NFT Market Overview

The NFT ecosystem lacks a clear taxonomy for use cases, making it challenging for market participants and regulators to have a common understanding. A recent study identified 10 use case categories, dividing them into “tied to physical” for NFTs linked to physical objects and “pure digital” for those solely in digital realms.

NFT taxonomy
NFT taxonomy. Source: WEF

The NFT life cycle can vary based on its intended purpose or expected outcome.

The journey typically includes project initiation involving the IP owner and project creator, NFT creation with considerations like design, marketing, infrastructure, regulatory environment, and functionality, primary market activities such as allocation and sales, custody for secure storage and management, and the secondary market where NFTs are traded after the primary sale.

In the secondary market, royalties may be paid to the original IP owner, creating a new revenue stream. The economics of the secondary sale typically involve percentages allocated to the previous owner, the IP owner as a royalty fee, and the marketplace.

NFT Implementation and Interoperability

NFTs are recorded on blockchain networks like Ethereum, Polygon, or Solana using technical standards like ERC-721 and smart contracts. Smart contracts track ownership, transfers, and essential data, which are validated by nodes and stored on the blockchain. The choice of blockchain network for NFT projects depends on factors like security, scalability, costs, smart contract support, developer community, interoperability, and environmental impact.

For safe storage of NFTs, dedicated digital wallets are essential. Non-custodial wallets provide full control to the owner with options like hardware wallets (e.g., Ledger) or software wallets (e.g., MetaMask). Custodial wallets, offered by third-party companies, relieve owners from managing their private keys.

An NFT marketplace is a digital platform for buying, selling, and exchanging NFTs. Major NFT exchange platforms like OpenSea, Blur, Rarible, or Nifty Gateway cater to different user bases and offer distinct features. Advanced marketplaces may also provide minting services, enabling a seamless process for minting, listing, browsing, and transferring NFTs.

Interoperability is a critical factor in unlocking the full potential of NFTs beyond collectibles. The report highlights the need for greater brand interoperability and technical standards to facilitate seamless transactions across different blockchains. While some interoperability ecosystems exist, there is still a long way to go in bridging the gap between disparate platforms. Common standards and protocols are essential to drive value and enhance user experience in the NFT space.

8 Critical Factor for NFTs Development

User experience is paramount in driving the adoption of NFTs, with complex wallets and poor UX posing significant barriers to entry. Improving wallet functionality, security, and privacy mechanisms is essential to streamline customer journeys and instill trust in the ecosystem. The evolution of digital IDs and enhanced privacy protocols are key components in enhancing user experience and fostering a more secure environment for NFT transactions.

NFT Journey
NFT Journey. Source: WEF

Regulatory

Regulatory and legal clarity is crucial for the development and mass adoption of NFTs. Currently, various countries are in the early stages of creating regulatory frameworks for digital assets within the Web3 environment. However, there is a lack of a common taxonomy to cover different NFT use cases and frameworks. Industry experts emphasize the importance of regulating the ecosystem to drive NFT development. Efforts to regulate the Web3 space have been uneven globally.

For mass adoption, an NFT taxonomy tailored to each use case and a regulated legal framework for security and protection are essential. International guidelines and agreements are necessary to ensure enforcement and encourage traditional customers and investors to engage in NFT projects.

Development of Web3 Ecosystem

The development of NFTs is closely linked to the broader Web3 ecosystem. While Web3 products and services are progressing unevenly across industries, some areas like tokenization of financial instruments are gaining more traction. The overall advancement of Web3 aids in educating users about technologies such as blockchains, cryptocurrencies, and wallets, which in turn unlocks the potential of NFTs.

Investment from both private and public sectors in the broader Web3 space, including initiatives like governments adopting digital identity, will play a vital role in enabling mass adoption of NFTs.

Macroeconomic and Business Environment

The current macroeconomic and business environment poses challenges for companies looking to invest in NFTs and other digital assets.

Competing priorities, such as artificial intelligence (AI), are consuming critical resources, limiting the exploration of new avenues like NFTs. Despite this, some companies are shifting their focus to AI, while NFTs and the crypto ecosystem continue to develop steadily.

To create a conducive environment for NFT adoption, stabilizing the crypto and digital assets markets is crucial. Additionally, maintaining market traction and momentum is vital to attract investors without succumbing to hype that could lead to damaging bubbles.

Interoperability

Interoperability is crucial for the broader utility of NFT and the development of new economies and secondary markets. However, the current adverse macroeconomic environment has led companies to prioritize core businesses over exploring growth opportunities in NFTs and digital assets.

Presently, NFT interoperability is limited to collectibles and art, with efforts to establish interoperability standards still in early stages and on a small scale. To drive NFT adoption, it is essential to develop interoperability standards and protocols that allow NFTs to function across different blockchain networks and platforms, facilitating easy trading, access, and utilization in various spaces. Incentive schemes, such as royalties, can encourage collaboration among players to overcome interoperability challenges.

User Experience (UX)

User experience is complex, leading to high friction in the customer journey and hindering adoption beyond initial enthusiasts and crypto-savvy communities. The customer experience for most NFT use cases is heavily influenced by the complexity of wallet experiences, which are unfamiliar to mainstream audiences and often involve poor UX and UI, as well as payments in various cryptocurrencies.

To achieve mass adoption, a smooth customer experience is crucial, necessitating improvements in wallets such as simple login methods, fiat payments, integration with Web2 platforms, and the evolution of digital IDs.

Furthermore, enhancing security and privacy measures in wallets and transactions is essential to build trust among NFT adopters.

Technology Development

The current state of main blockchain networks faces challenges in balancing affordable costs, high transaction capacity, security, and decentralization simultaneously due to the need for overall maturity in blockchain technology regarding throughput, latency, and security.

Existing solutions struggle to manage numerous users and activities without network congestion. While scaling solutions like layer two protocols or modularity offer advantages in terms of costs or capacity, they are not fully equipped to handle the transaction volume required for widespread adoption.

To achieve mass adoption, it is essential

  • to reach technological milestones such as high-capacity networks at an affordable price with robust security and reliability.
  • Ensuring the availability and longevity of off-chain data is critical for maintaining the integrity and future usability of NFTs.
  • Implementing reliable and decentralized storage solutions, addressing potential data loss or link rot issues, and developing alternative models for completing public on-chain data

Track Record of Success

The current status of IP and brand holders adopting NFTs shows a focus on digital collectibles in various industries, with other use cases primarily at the proof-of-concept or experimental stage. The scale of current use cases remains small, leading to uncertainty in results and scalability of KPIs, reducing visibility of the potential benefits of NFT implementation. The lack of a substantial history of successful, long-term NFT campaigns in established companies may discourage potential corporate investors from engaging with NFTs.

For mass adoption, the emergence of large-scale success stories is crucial to boost companies’ confidence and encourage them to move beyond small experiments with NFTs. These success stories should be supported by performance metrics indicating potential returns, thereby reducing the perceived risk of investing in NFTs.

IP and Brand Holders Adopting NFTs

Currently, companies with strong brands and popular intellectual property (IP) have initiated pilot projects and small-scale endeavors in the NFT space but have not fully committed to substantial and valuable developments.

For mass adoption, it is imperative for companies possessing strong IP, recognized brands, and extensive fan bases to launch NFTs, as this can drive widespread adoption.

However, these companies must establish clear strategies for digital assets, offer value-added experiences to customers across various geographies beyond physical events, and understand the implications of NFT technologies, such as licensing IP with specific limitations in time and geographical areas.

Additionally, creating new IP regulations outlining permissible actions for each participant in the value chain concerning NFT rights usage is essential to foster a conducive environment for NFT adoption.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the Evolution of NFTs report paints a compelling picture of the transformative power of digital assets in the modern economy.

From the rise of NFTs to the challenges of interoperability and user experience, the report offers valuable insights into the future of this burgeoning technology. As we navigate the complexities of the NFT landscape, it is clear that innovation, collaboration, and regulatory clarity will be key drivers of success.

By embracing the potential of NFTs and harnessing their unique capabilities, we can pave the way for a more inclusive and decentralized digital future.

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